Friday, August 24, 2007

Dems need to avoid blame for Iraq

ILLUSTRATED: Political solution = Oil money distribution + security. Oil money distribution is nowhere to be found, thus there is absolutely no political progress. The GOP lost Iraq.

In 2008, the Democrats will be blamed for pulling the rug from under General Petraeus just as he was starting to succeed. It is a total lie, and we need to go on offense now.

In sum say: "The name of the game is the Iraqi government. Yes Petraeus has made it safer, but he won't have enough troops long enough. Also, there is no deal on oil distribution to all parts of Iraq. Thus, Iraq is failing under Bush." If asked about why are the Democrats cutting resources simply say: "OK, do you want a war tax, and possibly a draft?"

Longer version:
It's pretty basic that a viable political state needs a functioning economy and security (internal and external). The name of the game in Iraq is a political solution from the parliament which, at this writing, is on vacation. A political solution will not happen unless the Sunnis get oil revenue. The Sunnis live in the west without oil.
As was predicted earlier on this blog, General Petraeus' strategy is bringing results. It's just that he will not have the resources or the time to completely pacify Iraq. He now has 160,000 troops, and probably needs 200,000 for several years. It ain't happening.

Thus there will never possibly be a political solution beyond creating a federal government that is basically an oil trust that has guards on its borders with Iran, Turkey, and Syria.

Lastly, Democratic politicians are scared of Iraq going horribly wrong next year (I predict it will next spring) and being blamed for cutting resources. First, there aren't enough troops in the active military. Secondly, just suggest a war tax.

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